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Due Date: What It Really Means And How It Might Affect Your Labour

Only about 4% of babies are born on their due date.
Pregnant bellies with dates on post-it notes
João Henrique do Carmo on Pexels

You are approaching your due date and have started the countdown... but how much do you know about your due date?

There are a few things that matter and some that don't matter when it comes to due dates so keep reading to find out more!

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What Is A Due Date?

A due date, or an Estimated Due Date (EDD), is a prediction of when your baby might arrive or when labour might begin. It's typically calculated as 40 weeks from the first day of your last menstrual period (LMP) with the assumption of a 28-day menstrual cycle, with ovulation occurring on day 14. However, it's essential to remember that this is a general estimate, not a guarantee!


How Is A Due Date Calculated?

The most common method is Naegele’s Rule, which is named after German obstetrician Franz Naegele. If you would like to estimate your dues date with this method then:

  • take the first day of your last menstrual period(LMP)

  • subtract 3 months

  • add seven days

  • add one year


Another way to calculate would be to add 7 days to the first day of your LMP and then count forward 9 months. These methods assume a 28-day menstrual cycle, as mentioned above, which may not apply to everyone. Therefore, early ultrasound measurementsare often used to provide a more accurate estimate, especially if mentrual cycles are irregular.

If you know your exact conception date, especially in cases like IVF, the due date is calculated by adding 266 days to the conception date.


The History Behind Due Dates

The concept of estimating due dates goes back to the ancient times, when the estimate was based on lunar cycles and seasonal changes. This evolved over the centuries and in 1744, Dutch professor Hermann Boerhaave proposed adding 7 days to the last period and then adding nine months to estimate the due date. Later, in 1812, German professor Franz Naegele refined this method, leading to the widely used Naegele’s Rule which is still used today.


Why Your Due Date Matters

Your due date matters because it can affect the care that you receive during pregnancy, during labour and birth and after your baby is born - in some cases. Here are some examples:

  • Medical Planning: Due dates help schedule prenatal tests and monitor fetal development.

  • Personal Preparation: They help parents in planning for maternity/paternity leave and preparing for the baby's arrival.

  • Monitoring Post-Term Pregnancies: If a pregnancy goes beyond 42 weeks, healthcare providers may monitor more closely or consider induction due to increased risks.


And Why It Might Not Matter...

At the same time, there are some reasons why your due date might not matter:

  • Natural Variation: As mentioned earlier, only about 4% of babies are born on their due date. Most arrive between 37 and 42 weeks.

  • Cycle Variability: Not all menstrual cycles are 28 days, and ovulation can vary, affecting the accuracy of the due date.

  • Individual Differences: Factors like first-time pregnancies, maternal age, and genetics can influence the timing of labour.


Key Facts To Remember

  1. Due Dates Are Estimates: They're not exact science but provide a general timeframe.

  2. Early Ultrasounds Can Help: They can offer a more accurate estimation, especially if menstrual cycles are irregular. However, it is not possible to predict exactly when the baby will come.

  3. Post-Term Monitoring: If you go beyond 42 weeks, your healthcare provider may discuss options like increased monitoring or induction.


While due dates are helpful for planning and monitoring, it is essential to remember that they are estimates. Each pregnancy is unique, and babies often arrive on their own schedules. Embracing flexibility and focusing on overall health and well-being can make the journey to parenthood smoother!



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